Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000618 0.000702 0.000791 0.000892 0.001003 0.001122 0.001257
2025-12-14 0.000480 0.000596 0.000726 0.000884 0.001068 0.001275 0.001525
2025-12-21 0.000400 0.000528 0.000679 0.000869 0.001101 0.001370 0.001706
2025-12-28 0.000358 0.000497 0.000669 0.000893 0.001174 0.001511 0.001942
2026-01-04 0.000321 0.000468 0.000655 0.000907 0.001231 0.001630 0.002152
2026-01-11 0.000283 0.000431 0.000627 0.000899 0.001259 0.001711 0.002314
2026-01-18 0.000249 0.000398 0.000600 0.000888 0.001279 0.001780 0.002461
2026-01-25 0.000227 0.000378 0.000589 0.000897 0.001323 0.001880 0.002649
2026-02-01 0.000207 0.000357 0.000574 0.000899 0.001357 0.001967 0.002821
2026-02-08 0.000180 0.000325 0.000540 0.000870 0.001347 0.001992 0.002910
2026-02-15 0.000158 0.000297 0.000512 0.000847 0.001342 0.002023 0.003007
2026-02-22 0.000143 0.000280 0.000496 0.000843 0.001362 0.002088 0.003150
2026-03-01 0.000130 0.000265 0.000484 0.000842 0.001388 0.002163 0.003310
2026-03-08 0.000117 0.000248 0.000466 0.000832 0.001400 0.002218 0.003443
2026-03-15 0.000104 0.000231 0.000448 0.000819 0.001405 0.002261 0.003560
2026-03-22 0.000099 0.000227 0.000451 0.000841 0.001466 0.002387 0.003797
2026-03-29 0.000093 0.000221 0.000450 0.000854 0.001512 0.002492 0.004006
2026-04-05 0.000085 0.000209 0.000436 0.000847 0.001525 0.002548 0.004145
2026-04-12 0.000076 0.000196 0.000421 0.000837 0.001533 0.002596 0.004271
2026-04-19 0.000071 0.000190 0.000418 0.000845 0.001570 0.002688 0.004466
2026-04-26 0.000066 0.000182 0.000411 0.000847 0.001597 0.002766 0.004641
2026-05-03 0.000058 0.000167 0.000388 0.000820 0.001575 0.002767 0.004697
2026-05-10 0.000051 0.000154 0.000369 0.000798 0.001560 0.002778 0.004769